How to Know If You're Getting a Fair Offer
Calculate your business value using multiples, DCF analysis, and market comparables to evaluate acquisition offers objectively.
- Calculate your trailing twelve months revenue and EBITDA. Pull your last 12 months of revenue and calculate EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization). Clean up any one-time expenses or owner perks that inflate costs. Most buyers will normalize these numbers anyway.
- Apply industry revenue and EBITDA multiples. Small businesses typically sell for 0.5-3x revenue or 2-6x EBITDA, depending on industry and growth rate. SaaS businesses command higher multiples (3-8x revenue). Service businesses with recurring contracts get 1-3x revenue. Apply your industry's range to get a valuation bracket.
- Run a discounted cash flow analysis. Project your next 5 years of free cash flow. Apply a discount rate of 15-25% for small businesses to account for risk. Sum the present value of those cash flows plus a terminal value. This gives you an intrinsic value floor.
- Research comparable sales in your market. Look for businesses sold in your industry, size range, and geography within the last 2 years. Business brokers, industry associations, and M&A databases publish this data. Adjust for differences in growth rate, margins, and market position.
- Factor in your strategic value and deal terms. Add 10-30% if you have unique assets, customer relationships, or market position the buyer needs. Subtract 10-20% if you need to sell quickly or have declining metrics. Consider earnouts, escrow periods, and payment terms in your evaluation.
- Set your acceptance range before negotiations. Calculate the weighted average of your three valuations. Accept offers within 10% below this number. Negotiate hard between 10-20% below. Walk away from anything more than 20% under your calculated value unless you have compelling personal reasons.